{"id":3417,"date":"2022-01-10T12:50:54","date_gmt":"2022-01-10T11:50:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dignitynews.eu\/?p=3417"},"modified":"2022-01-10T12:50:54","modified_gmt":"2022-01-10T11:50:54","slug":"naukowcy-prognozuja-dziewieciokrotny-wzrost-zakazen-koronawirusem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dignitynews.eu\/pl\/naukowcy-prognozuja-dziewieciokrotny-wzrost-zakazen-koronawirusem\/","title":{"rendered":"Naukowcy prognozuj\u0105 dziewi\u0119ciokrotny wzrost zaka\u017ce\u0144 koronawirusem"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Grupa MOCOS (MOdeling COronavirus Spread) to mi\u0119dzynarodowy interdyscyplinarny zesp\u00f3\u0142 naukowc\u00f3w zajmuj\u0105cy si\u0119 modelowaniem epidemii COVID-19. Naukowcy z Politechniki Wroc\u0142awskiej, Uniwersytetu Wroc\u0142awskiego, Uniwersytetu Medycznego we Wroc\u0142awiu oraz eksperci z Nokia Wroc\u0142aw, EY GDS Poland oraz MicroscopeIT opracowali kr\u00f3tkoterminow\u0105 prognoz\u0119 pandemii do 1 lutego 2022 r.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Na prze\u0142omie stycznia i lutego w Polsce mo\u017ce by\u0107 100 tys. przypadk\u00f3w zaka\u017cenia koronawirusem dziennie &#8211; m\u00f3wi prof. Maciej Banach z Uniwersytetu Medycznego w \u0141odzi cytowany w portalu Interia.pl.<\/p>\n<p>Z opublikowanych danych wynika, \u017ce siedmiodniowa \u015brednia liczba zdiagnozowanych zaka\u017ce\u0144 w Polsce gwa\u0142townie wzro\u015bnie po drugim tygodniu stycznia. 14 stycznia \u015brednia z modelowa\u0144 wzro\u015bnie z poziomu ok. 12 tys. zaka\u017ce\u0144 do ok. 16 tys. zaka\u017ce\u0144. B\u0119dzie to pocz\u0105tek pi\u0105tej fali pandemii &#8211; nast\u0119pne dni to wzrosty \u015bredniej o kilka tysi\u0119cy przypadk\u00f3w.<\/p>\n<p>Kumulacja \u015bredniej zaka\u017ce\u0144 przypadnie na 29 stycznia &#8211; wed\u0142ug naukowc\u00f3w b\u0119dzie to poziom ponad 108 tys. przypadk\u00f3w. Od tego momentu liczba ta zacznie nieznacznie spada\u0107.<\/p>\n<p>MOCOS prognozuje wzrost r\u00f3wnie\u017c w przypadku liczby zgon\u00f3w zaka\u017conych koronawirusem. Siedmiodniowa \u015brednia b\u0119dzie spada\u0107 do 15 stycznia, potem nast\u0105pi systematyczny wzrost. Najwy\u017cszy poziom odnotuje 28 i 29 stycznia &#8211; dziennie na COVID-19 ma umiera\u0107 ponad 680 os\u00f3b.<\/p>\n<p>Zdaniem prof. Banacha wariant omikron, kt\u00f3ry pojawi\u0142 si\u0119 w listopadzie ub. roku, b\u0119dzie ju\u017c wkr\u00f3tce dominowa\u0142 w Polsce pod wzgl\u0119dem liczby wywo\u0142anych zaka\u017ce\u0144. Pokazuj\u0105 to przyk\u0142ady innych kraj\u00f3w w zachodniej Europie i rozw\u00f3j pandemii w Stanach Zjednoczonych, gdzie omikron odpowiada za 95 proc. przypadk\u00f3w.<\/p>\n<p>Arkadiusz S\u0142omczy\u0144ski<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Grupa MOCOS (MOdeling COronavirus Spread) to mi\u0119dzynarodowy interdyscyplinarny zesp\u00f3\u0142 naukowc\u00f3w zajmuj\u0105cy si\u0119 modelowaniem epidemii COVID-19. Naukowcy z Politechniki Wroc\u0142awskiej, Uniwersytetu Wroc\u0142awskiego, Uniwersytetu Medycznego we Wroc\u0142awiu oraz eksperci z Nokia Wroc\u0142aw,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":3423,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3417","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-wydarzenia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Naukowcy prognozuj\u0105 dziewi\u0119ciokrotny wzrost zaka\u017ce\u0144 koronawirusem - Godno\u015b\u0107 - DignityNews.eu<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dignitynews.eu\/pl\/naukowcy-prognozuja-dziewieciokrotny-wzrost-zakazen-koronawirusem\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pl_PL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Naukowcy prognozuj\u0105 dziewi\u0119ciokrotny wzrost zaka\u017ce\u0144 koronawirusem - Godno\u015b\u0107 - DignityNews.eu\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Grupa MOCOS (MOdeling COronavirus Spread) to mi\u0119dzynarodowy interdyscyplinarny zesp\u00f3\u0142 naukowc\u00f3w zajmuj\u0105cy si\u0119 modelowaniem epidemii COVID-19. 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